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The pre-release livestream for Lostbelt No.3 is tomorrow and the Intro has been released, and with it quite a bit of information and material to speculate from, with more to follow.

Given the situation with the previous pages and external circumstances, initial construction will likely take some time, as will subsequent compilation and referencing - it may well not be done in time for release. If there's anything to add, amend or reference, please say so in the comments below - it'd be much appreciated and I need as much help as I can get (particularly as I already have my hands full with a major project elsewhere).

WARNING: Spoilers below for those not following the Japanese release of Fate/Grand Order


Primary Compilation and Referencing incomplete as of 26/11/2018


Pre-CM

Background

Previous Events

Current Situation

Following the events of the Norse Lostbelt, the Shadow Border arrived at the Wandering Sea.[1] Two weeks after meeting with Sion Eltnam Sokaris, the remnants of Chaldea are settling into their new base when an assassination attempt by Koyanskaya leaves Fujimaru and Goldolf poisoned (with the latter having only 10 days to live). The poison's base (needed for the antidote) is not found in the present era, but records indicate its usage in ancient China, so the Shadow Border is setting sail for the Chinese Lostbelt.[2]

Setting

Lost Belt No

Lostbelt No. 3

SIN: Land of Unified Knowledge (人智統合真国 SIN?), alternatively Crimson Beauty Under the Moon (紅の月下美人?) and Lost Belt No. 3 (ロストベルト No. 3?), is the third of the seven known Lost Belts. It's Lost Depth is E and it's associated Crypter is Akuta Hinako. The date of divergence is 210 BC.[3]

Opening and PV Information

The background in the PV appears to have a large luminous dome with multiple moving lights shining out from it.[3] The opening features oriental-style buildings.[4]

Previous Speculation

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
China 210 BC The appearance of the buildings have led many to suspect that the setting for this one will be early Imperial China. If so, there is a notable event in 210 BC which might be featured. In that year, the first emperor of a unified China, Qin Shi Huang died, leading to a period of civil unrest[Spec 1][Spec 2][Spec 3][Spec 4] (there are also a couple of interesting little bits concerning events just before his death which could be used, namely his search for an elixir of life and a meteorite that fell the year before, on which someone inscribed a prophecy that the emperor would die and his land would be divided (apparently when no one would confess, all living nearby were put to death and the stone pulverised)).[Spec 1] This was also when the Terracotta ArmyWP was made.[Spec 1][Spec 5][Spec 6]


Post-Lostbelt No.1 & No.2 Information

According to Hinako, her Lostbelt is not suited for territorial expansion, though that statement may be due to her disposition. Its king has tendencies towards exploration and domination, leading her to worrying what he might do if she doesn't keep an eye on him.[5]

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
Lostbelt No.3's Divergence Point
Impact Divergences Another possibility which has been considered given the cause of the Russian Lostbelt's divergence as well as the events of the Prologue and the first chapter, are that other Lostbelts may also have points of divergence connected to the impacts of extraterrestrial objects. Three of the Lostbelts have settings and speculation concerning them which could be linked to this theory, including No. 3.

A meteorite is said to have fallen in China during the last year of Qin Shi Huang's reign (his death is in the year of divergence and it has been suspected that he is involved).[Spec 3][Spec 4][Spec 7][Spec 8] Someone apparently inscribed a prophecy that the emperor would die and his land would be divided, and when no one would confess to having done the deed, all living nearby were put to death and the stone was pulverised.[6][7][Spec 8]

Lostbelt No.3 - SIN, Name Following the second Lostbelt, the blank part of the third Lostbelt's title has been revealed - SIN. This has prompted a number of speculations concerning the nature and implications of the name.

Though 'Sin' was one of the names used for ChinaWP in the past, by the Arabs - other names seem more fitting given the context, such as Qin (the state of the First Emperor who would unify the other states into China). Therefore, a fair number of people think that there must be a reason why it is SIN rather than QIN.[Spec 5][Spec 9]

Others have considered the possibility of it being an acronym, with Synchronized Intellect Nation being put forward based on the subtitle.[Spec 5] Others have considered the possibility that it refers to something other than the country.[Spec 5]

The fact that the hidden part of the title is in Roman rather than Japanese characters has been noted to have opened up new possibilities for the blank parts of the remaining Lostbelt titles.[Spec 5]

Lostbelt No.3 - SIN, Dystopia With regards to the third Lostbelt, going from the subtitle, a number of people suspect a dystopia and prevalent information control.[Spec 10][Spec 5][Spec 11]

LegalistWP background aside, though there had been a number of SE.RA.PH-related speculations connected with the fourth Lostbelt, a number of other people have thought about a dystopia connected to cyberspace, computers or cyberpunk-related stuff, referring to the MatrixWP and SkynetWP.[Spec 10][Spec 11]

Many believe that this civilization will have become stagnant as a result of events arising from the emperor becoming immortal (and the reason why it was to be pruned), strictly managed with fear discouraging rebellion.[Spec 11] Others suspect that the emperor's enforcers (following on from Ivan's Oprichniki and Skadi's Valkyries) might be animated terracotta warriors - if the emperor achieved immortality, he'd no longer need the Terracotta ArmyWP to protect him in the afterlife, so he would probably find another use for them.[Spec 11][Spec 5]

Announcement and Post-Intro Information

In the chapter's intro, it was confirmed that Lostbelt No.3 is indeed in China.[2]

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
Lost Depth: E In the intro, it was revealed that the Lost Depths, ranks assigned to the Lostbelts, indicate how much their Human Order denies the Greater History of Man.[2] Given the low rank of the Chinese Lostbelt, it is speculated that there won't be as much of a difference as with the previous two Lostbelts.[Spec 5]

Figures

Crypter: Akuta Hinako

Akuta Hinako

Akuta Hinako

The Crypter associated with this Lostbelt is Akuta Hinako. As with the others, she is a former member of Chaldea's A-Team, who now stands against the survivors as a Master working with the forces of the Lostbelts and the Alien God to remake the world.[8][9]

Originating from the Clock Tower's Botany Faculty (aka Witch Studies), she was originally a technician at Chaldea but became a Master candidate after her talent was discovered. She is described as being silent, having an odd vibe and being happy to just read a book all day in the shade. She has also been described as being good at getting along with people even though she is quiet and dislikes humans. She apparently wouldn't show up to medical exams. She was assigned Rider and strongly wished for it.[8][10]

She has told the other Crypters that she won't be competing, stating that her Lostbelt is unsuitable for expansion, though she wishes to see things through to the end this time. She has been acting to curb her Lostbelt's king's desires for exploration and domination.[5] As a result of this and other problems, she has been under considerable stress.[11]

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
Something to hide? Given Hinako's tendency to avoid medical examinations and her bulky outfit, a few have wondered if it isn't just due to finding them tiresome and she has something to hide.[Spec 12]

Crypter Servant

Previous Speculation

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation

New Speculation

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation

King of the Lostbelt

Previous Speculation

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
The Kings of the Lostbelts Given Ivan's role and form, many suspect that at least some of the other Kings of the Lostbelts will be of a similar nature and divergence. There has also been speculation, given that the playable Ivan and Scathach-Skadi are in their Lostbelt forms, that most if not all of the kings will be in their Lostbelt forms.[Spec 5]
Qin Shi Huang Given what has been revealed concerning the Kings of the Lostbelts and what has previously been speculated about Lostbelt No.3 (and certain individuals who might appear in it),[Spec 5][Spec 6][Spec 3] various people suspect that the third Lostbelt's King will be Qin Shi Huang, the first emperor of a unified China, who died in the year of divergence.[Spec 3][Spec 7][Spec 8] Given his search for immortality, a fair number suspect that the Lostbelt's divergence might be connected to it,[Spec 8][Spec 5] and given Ivan's form in the first Lostbelt, some suspect that if Qin Shi Huang has also undergone a transformation, it will somehow be connected to Terracotta ArmyWP, which was made in the same year for his tomb.[Spec 5][Spec 3]
King of Lostbelt No.3 The description in the Lostroom Material of a millennial empire ruled by an emperor granted the immortality he desired, matches previous speculation about the third Lostbelt and all but confirms that its King is the First Emperor of China, Qin Shi Huang, who sought immortality and in proper history, died in the year the Lostbelt diverged from the Greater History of Man.[Spec 13]
King of Lostbelt No.3 - Immortality With the signs of Qin Shi Huang being the King of the third Lostbelt and having acquired the immortality he desired, there has been speculation as to the exact nature of that immortality.[Spec 13][Spec 11][Spec 5]

The first possibility that has been considered is him obtaining the proper elixir of lifeWP or immortality medicine which he sought in his later years.[Spec 14][Spec 15][Spec 11][Spec 5] Some have even wondered if he might have found a mercury treatment which isn't counterproductive (unlike his real-life counterpart).[Spec 11]

One notable event which occurred close to his death has also been considered - in the last year of his reign, there was a minor meteor impact.[Spec 3][Spec 4][Spec 7][Spec 8] Someone apparently inscribed a prophecy on the meteorite that the emperor would die and his land would be divided, and when no one would confess to having done the deed, all living nearby were put to death and the stone was pulverised.[6][7][Spec 8] Some have wondered if, had he not done so, he might have found the secret within the meteorite itself.[Spec 5]

From details of a previous short story involving Jing Ke, some have wondered if the 'meat blocks' (apparently of TaoistWP origin) and tumors which were featured in it will be play a role,[Spec 16][Spec 5] though others have also considered the possibility that the short story will be disregarded due to poor reception.[Spec 11][Spec 5] Similarly, another idea which has been put forward, based on a description and sketches of him with dragon-like features, is that his immortality may be of draconic origin.[Spec 16][Spec 14][Spec 5] Another one is that it might be rooted in XianWP methods or perhaps linked to the Four SymbolsWP.[Spec 11][Spec 5]

Another possibility which has been considered is immortality in the form of undeath, with Dead Apostles and JiangshiWP being put forward.[Spec 17][Spec 18][Spec 19][Spec 5]

Others have wondered if the method may have involved binding the soul to an object (such as a terracotta figure) or a new body constructed for the purpose (possibly even from mercury).[Spec 11][Spec 5]

Other

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation
Figures connected to speculation Considering speculation concerning the Lostbelt's likely subject matter, a number of figures (some which have been featured before and some which have not) which are connected to them have been listed in various places and considered for potential appearances.

One particular list has included the following:[Spec 20]

While the Servants appearing in the Russian Lostbelt cast doubt on the idea that most of the Servants featured in the story will be connected to their respective settings, the appearance of Brynhildr in the Norse Lostbelt shows that the connected figures can be among the Servants summoned to the Lostbelts on behalf of the Greater History of Man.[12][11][Spec 5]

On a minor side-note, it has been noted that Qin Shi Huang's reign apparently overlapped with the last years of Long MuWP, though the possibility of an appearance by the Dragon Mother hasn't been considered as a particularly strong one.[Spec 1]

Figures connected to the old datamine Given the appearances of Ivan, Sigurd and Valkyrie in the first two Lostbelts, various people expect more figures from the old datamine, who have yet to be featured, to appear in the future Lostbelts, and three figures among them have been connected to the likely Chinese background of the third Lostbelt; the old Li Shuwen, Qin LiangyuWP and Red HareWP.[Spec 5]

Other

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation

Post-CM

Not yet released. To be compiled

Setting

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation

Figures

Crypter: Akuta Hinako

Other

Subject(s) of Speculation Notes concerning Speculation

References

External Links

Information References

  1. Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Götterdämmerung: Eternal Ice-Flame Century, Chapter 17
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - SIN, Intro
  3. 3.0 3.1 Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt PV
  4. Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt Opening
  5. 5.0 5.1 Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Anastasia: Permafrost Empire, Prologue
  6. 6.0 6.1 Liang, Yuansheng. (2007). The Legitimation of New Orders: Case Studies in World History. Chinese University Press. ISBN 962-996-239-X, 9789629962395. pg 5.
  7. 7.0 7.1 Ssu-Ma Ch'ien. Burton Watson (trans.) Records of the Grand Historian: Qin Dynasty 3rd ed, pp. 35 & 59. Columbia University Press (New York), 1996. ISBN 0-231-08169-3.
  8. 8.0 8.1 Fate/Grand Order - Second Prologue, Chapter 2
  9. Fate/Grand Order - Second Prologue, Chapter 8
  10. Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Anastasia: Permafrost Empire, Chapter 20
  11. 11.0 11.1 Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Götterdämmerung: Eternal Ice-Flame Century
  12. Fate/Grand Order: Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Anastasia: Permafrost Empire

Speculative References

Cosmos in the Lostbelt - Information & Speculation Compilations
Main Story Post-Prologue, Pre-AnastasiaLostbelt No. 1: Anastasia • Lostbelt No.2: Götterdämmerung (Pre-Release/Post-Release) • Lostbelt No.3: SIN (Pre-Release/Post-Release)
Unrelated Items of Possible Interest Lists for analysis of SkillsEpic of Remnant Keywords, Review and Speculation
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